Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.333541 0.387859 0.447788 0.518752 0.600434 0.691448 0.800501
2025-04-27 0.255416 0.331742 0.425071 0.547293 0.702835 0.893860 1.145962
2025-05-04 0.209383 0.294385 0.406230 0.563532 0.778366 1.060749 1.459255
2025-05-11 0.175366 0.263210 0.385972 0.568998 0.833733 1.201340 1.748862
2025-05-18 0.148218 0.235580 0.364264 0.566108 0.872941 1.319643 2.016504
2025-05-25 0.126149 0.211194 0.342569 0.558274 0.901127 1.421812 2.268275
2025-06-01 0.109390 0.192097 0.325558 0.554040 0.932248 1.529068 2.536167
2025-06-08 0.093093 0.171057 0.302171 0.535662 0.937197 1.593998 2.741611
2025-06-15 0.088416 0.169131 0.309925 0.569536 1.031234 1.810615 3.214567
2025-06-22 0.076381 0.152181 0.289375 0.551376 1.033309 1.872920 3.432154
2025-06-29 0.066346 0.137452 0.270777 0.534057 1.034133 1.931826 3.647699
2025-07-06 0.058196 0.125171 0.255071 0.519918 1.038581 1.996486 3.878182
2025-07-13 0.053187 0.118674 0.249959 0.526106 1.083212 2.140887 4.274281
2025-07-20 0.050896 0.117563 0.255439 0.554059 1.173507 2.380224 4.875037
2025-07-27 0.047686 0.113976 0.255340 0.570451 1.242186 2.584150 5.426208
2025-08-03 0.043871 0.108461 0.250430 0.575980 1.288817 2.748490 5.913527
2025-08-10 0.039829 0.101806 0.242150 0.573056 1.316907 2.877314 6.339492
2025-08-17 0.035893 0.094812 0.232203 0.565130 1.333045 2.982433 6.725160
2025-08-24 0.032647 0.089033 0.224299 0.560846 1.356607 3.105045 7.158955
2025-08-31 0.028893 0.081392 0.211011 0.542252 1.345345 3.150756 7.428578
2025-09-07 0.028520 0.082563 0.219264 0.576524 1.461062 3.487951 8.378238
2025-09-14 0.025369 0.075768 0.206814 0.558151 1.448995 3.535060 8.672263
2025-09-21 0.022611 0.069635 0.195268 0.540627 1.436973 3.580828 8.966859